Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD): 5 FORCES Analysis [June-2026 Updated]

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Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (WBD) Porter's Five Forces Analysis

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Get a ready-to-use Michael Porter Five Forces analysis of Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. that shows how supplier power, customer power, rivalry, substitutes, and new entrants shape the business. You'll learn how to use facts such as 140 million streaming subscribers, $37.3 billion FY 2025 revenue, $8.89 billion Q1 2026 revenue, $30.1 billion net debt, and 3.4x leverage to assess pricing pressure, content dependence, and competitive risk in coursework, case studies, and research.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - Porter's Five Forces: Bargaining power of suppliers

Supplier power is high for Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. because the company depends on scarce sports rights, premium creative talent, financing partners, and distribution and ad-tech vendors. When those inputs are scarce or essential to audience demand, suppliers can demand better terms, higher fees, or stricter conditions.

Supplier group What they control Why bargaining power is high Business impact on Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.
Sports leagues and rights holders Live games, highlights, and related media rights Scarce inventory that drives ratings, ad demand, and subscriber engagement Higher rights costs and weaker leverage when content is must-have
Creative IP owners and film talent Scripts, franchises, stars, directors, and production talent Bankable names can open theaters and streaming demand More expensive content pipeline and renewal pressure
Lenders and capital providers Debt funding and refinancing terms High leverage raises lender control over covenants and maturities More fees, tighter terms, and less flexibility
Ad-tech and distribution partners Tools for monetization, platform reach, and audience delivery They shape how efficiently content turns into revenue Pressure on ad yield, subscriber growth, and margins

Premium rights concentration keeps supplier power elevated. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. still depends on a small set of premium rights holders, especially sports leagues and top creative IP owners. The 2024 NBA settlement gave the company only an 11-year global content license for non-live highlights, while the Inside the NBA package moved to ESPN and ABC beginning with the 2025-26 season. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. also swapped NBA game-related value for Big 12 football and basketball rights, which shows that suppliers can reprice access when content is scarce. This matters because Q1 2026 advertising revenue fell 8% ex-FX after the absence of NBA broadcast rights, and global linear revenue still declined 9%. Even with 140 million global streaming subscribers and $2.2 billion of Q1 adjusted EBITDA, the company still has to pay up when premium rights drive audience and ad demand.

Film talent remains costly because Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. needs scarce creative inputs to keep theaters and streaming platforms supplied with recognizable titles. The company highlighted Wuthering Heights as a project tracking for a $40 million to $50 million opening weekend, and its 2026 slate includes The Bride!, Flowervale Street, Clayface, Supergirl, and Dune: Part Three. That lineup shows the company must keep buying or developing premium content, even as full-year 2025 revenue fell 5% to $37.3 billion. Q4 2025 content revenue also fell 10% ex-FX because of renewal timing in Studios and Global Linear Networks, which is a classic supplier leverage issue: when the timing of rights renewals shifts, suppliers can extract better economics. With Q1 2026 revenue at $8.89 billion and a $2.9 billion net loss, holders of proven IP retain strong bargaining power over renewal terms.

Leverage amplifies lender power because Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. still carries a stretched balance sheet. The company ended Q1 2026 with $30.1 billion of net debt and a net leverage ratio of 3.4x, while the current ratio was 0.73. A current ratio below 1 means current liabilities exceed current assets, so short-term liquidity is tight. The company also arranged a larger loan sale to replace $15 billion of short-term bridge financing ahead of the Paramount Skydance merger. On May 27, 2026, holders of senior unsecured notes agreed to amend debt terms so maturity and exchange deadlines matched the March 4, 2027 merger end date. With projected post-merger debt for the combined entity estimated at $79 billion and operating cash flow at -$208 million in Q1, lenders can demand tighter covenants, fees, and stricter refinancing terms.

Ad tech and distribution partners matter because Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. depends on outside vendors to monetize streaming and international expansion. It expanded AI-driven Advanced Ad Capabilities on December 3, 2025, then rolled out HBO Max in Germany, Italy, Austria, Switzerland, Luxembourg, and Liechtenstein on January 13, 2026, followed by the United Kingdom and Ireland in March 2026. Those launches helped lift international subscriber growth 21% year over year and pushed total global streaming subscribers to 140 million by March 31, 2026. But ad revenue still declined 8% ex-FX in Q1 2026, which shows that technology partners and ad buyers still influence monetization quality. As Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. expands across more platforms and markets, outside suppliers matter more when revenue fell just 1% year over year and operating cash flow was -$208 million.

  • Sports rights suppliers can raise prices or move inventory to competing networks when content is scarce.
  • Creative IP owners matter because franchises and star-driven projects shape opening weekends, subscriber interest, and theatrical pull.
  • Lenders have stronger leverage when net debt is $30.1 billion and liquidity is tight.
  • Ad-tech vendors and distributors influence how efficiently streaming audiences become revenue.
  • Timing risk in renewals can shift revenue by quarter and strengthen supplier negotiating power.

For academic analysis, you can frame supplier power at Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. as a mix of content scarcity, financial pressure, and monetization dependence. The strongest suppliers are not just vendors; they are rights holders and capital providers that control access to revenue-generating assets.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - Porter's Five Forces: Bargaining power of customers

Customer power is high for Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. because both streaming subscribers and legacy TV buyers can switch, cancel, or demand better value quickly. The company's need to grow a 140 million subscriber base, after reaching 131.6 million on December 31, 2025, shows that customer retention and monetization are still under pressure.

Direct-to-consumer customers have clear leverage because they can compare services in seconds and drop one app without major switching costs. Warner Bros. Discovery raised U.S. streaming prices and tightened password-sharing enforcement in November 2025, which is a signal that management sees customers as price sensitive. The company also moved the Max brand back to HBO Max in May 2026, showing that premium brand identity matters in keeping customers willing to pay. Even with 21% international subscriber growth, Q1 2026 revenue still slipped 1% to $8.89 billion, which suggests price changes and subscriber gains are not translating into strong pricing power yet.

Customer group What the data shows Why bargaining power is high Strategic effect
Streaming subscribers 131.6 million subscribers on December 31, 2025; target of 140 million; U.S. price increases and password-sharing enforcement in November 2025 Low switching costs and visible price sensitivity Forces Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. to defend churn, not just add users
Linear TV viewers Domestic linear subscribers fell 10% in Q1 2026; Global Linear Networks revenue fell 9% Households can cut pay-TV packages or shift viewing elsewhere Reduces the company's ability to rely on legacy pricing and bundle economics
Advertisers Advertising revenue fell 8% ex-FX in Q1 2026 Ad buyers can move budgets across streaming, social, and digital media Pressures ad yields and forces better targeting and measurement

Linear viewers are declining, and that gives households and distributors more leverage over Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. Domestic linear subscribers fell 10% in Q1 2026, while Global Linear Networks revenue declined 9% in the same period. That matters because pay-TV customers can cut the cord, choose cheaper bundles, or move viewing time to other platforms. Advertising revenue also fell 8% ex-FX, which shows that when audience demand weakens, buyers have more room to push back on price and inventory quality. The company still generated $2.2 billion of adjusted EBITDA in Q1 2026, but that did not prevent a $2.9 billion net loss, including the $2.8 billion Netflix termination fee. With full-year 2025 revenue down 5% to $37.3 billion, legacy customers continue to dictate terms through cord-cutting and lower package demand.

  • Households can cancel or downgrade fast, so Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. has less room to raise prices in linear TV.
  • Distributors can renegotiate packages when viewing declines, which weakens the company's leverage in carriage talks.
  • Lower linear demand pushes more risk onto content owners because fewer people are locked into traditional bundles.

Advertisers also have strong negotiating power because ad inventory is less stable and more fragmented. Q1 2026 advertising revenue fell 8% ex-FX, and management linked part of that decline to the absence of NBA broadcast rights. The launch of AI-driven Advanced Ad Capabilities on December 3, 2025 shows that Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. is trying to improve targeting and yield, which is usually a sign that current ad monetization is under pressure. This pressure matters more because the company had 140 million streaming subscribers and negative $208 million in operating cash flow, so efficient ad sales are important to support cash generation. Advertisers can shift budgets across streaming, social media, and other digital outlets, so the company must compete on measurable outcomes, not just reach.

Brand and pricing discipline also show that customers hold real leverage. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. raised streaming prices, enforced password sharing, and then moved the brand back from Max to HBO Max within roughly six months. That sequence shows management trying to protect willingness to pay by using a premium brand name and tighter monetization rules. The company's Q1 revenue of $8.89 billion and quarterly net loss of $2.9 billion leave little room for weak customer response. At the same time, 21% international subscriber growth shows customers will adopt the service when the value proposition is strong enough, especially after the European rollout across six countries in January and two more in March. That combination of fast adoption and fast churn means customer bargaining power stays meaningful whenever pricing, branding, or content quality slips.

  • Strong content can reduce customer power temporarily, but only if it creates clear value above rival services.
  • Premium branding helps, but it must be supported by library depth and exclusive titles.
  • Price increases work best when churn stays low and content demand remains strong.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - Porter's Five Forces: Competitive rivalry

Competitive rivalry is extremely high for Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. because the company is fighting on four fronts at once: ownership control, streaming scale, sports rights, and legacy TV advertising. That matters because rivals are not just competing for viewers; they are competing for scarce content, distribution, and capital.

The ownership battle is direct proof of intensity at the corporate level. Netflix agreed to buy Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. for $82.7 billion on December 5, 2025, then Paramount Skydance came back with a $110.9 billion enterprise value offer on February 27, 2026, priced at $31.00 per share in cash. Shareholders approved the sale on April 23, 2026, after Netflix granted a seven-day waiver on February 17, 2026 so a final rival bid could be made. The contest also triggered a $2.8 billion termination fee paid to Netflix. That is rivalry before any integration work starts, and it shows that Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. sits inside a market where giant media groups are willing to spend billions to win the same assets.

The streaming business shows the same pressure at the consumer level. Total global streaming subscribers reached 140 million by March 31, 2026, up from 131.6 million at the end of 2025, and international growth accelerated 21% year over year. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. moved the service back to HBO Max in May 2026, which signals that premium branding still matters when competitors are fighting for attention. It also launched HBO Max in Germany, Italy, Austria, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Liechtenstein, the United Kingdom, and Ireland in 2026. Even with that growth, Q1 2026 revenue fell 1% to $8.89 billion, showing that scale gains are still being squeezed by pricing, content, and churn pressure.

Sports rights make rivalry more aggressive because they are bid up by competitors and then used to win subscribers and advertisers. Inside the NBA moved to ESPN and ABC for the 2025-26 season, and the NBA non-live highlights license was narrowed to an 11-year global arrangement. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. also traded some NBA leverage for Big 12 football and basketball rights, which shows that sports properties are being swapped strategically across networks. After the NBA rights change, Q1 2026 advertising revenue fell 8% excluding foreign exchange effects, Global Linear Networks revenue fell 9%, and domestic linear subscribers fell 10%. That is a clear sign that a rival can convert one rights deal into immediate share gains in distribution and ad sales.

Rivalry driver Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. evidence Strategic impact
Ownership contest Netflix bid $82.7 billion on December 5, 2025; Paramount Skydance bid $110.9 billion on February 27, 2026; approval on April 23, 2026 Shows that large media buyers will fight hard for the same assets and raise deal costs fast
Transaction cost of rivalry $2.8 billion termination fee paid to Netflix after the bidding process Proves rivalry can create direct cash cost before any synergy is realized
Streaming scale battle 140 million global streaming subscribers by March 31, 2026, up from 131.6 million at 2025 year-end Signals that Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. must keep spending to defend growth and reduce churn
Sports rights rivalry Inside the NBA moved to ESPN and ABC; Q1 2026 advertising revenue fell 8% excluding foreign exchange effects; Global Linear Networks revenue fell 9% Shows rivals can turn rights wins into ad and distribution gains quickly
Balance sheet pressure Net debt of $30.1 billion and 3.4x leverage Limits how aggressively Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. can outspend rivals on content, tech, or marketing

The financial base is weak enough that rivalry bites harder. FY 2025 revenue fell 5% to $37.3 billion, and Q1 2026 revenue slipped another 1% to $8.89 billion. The company reported a $2.9 billion net loss in Q1 2026 despite $2.2 billion of adjusted EBITDA, which is a rough cash operating profit measure before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. Operating cash flow was negative $208 million. When a company has that kind of cash strain, rivals can attack on price, exclusivity, and quality while Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. has less room to match every move.

The linear TV decline sharpens the conflict because shrinking audiences force more aggressive battles for the remaining ad dollars. Domestic linear subscribers were down 10%, Global Linear Networks revenue fell 9%, and advertising revenue fell 8% excluding foreign exchange effects in Q1 2026. The planned merger of CBS Sports and TNT Sports after the Paramount Skydance deal shows competitors are already consolidating to protect share in sports and live programming. In Porter's terms, this is classic high rivalry: many strong players, high fixed costs, low switching costs for viewers, and a shrinking legacy market that pushes companies to fight harder for every point of share.

  • Price pressure is strong because revenue is falling while rivals still have enough capital to bid aggressively for content and assets.
  • Content exclusivity matters because sports rights and premium series are the fastest way to reduce churn and defend subscriber growth.
  • Distribution scale matters because larger streaming bases spread fixed content costs across more users.
  • Legacy TV weakness makes rivalry harsher because each lost subscriber and each lost ad dollar has a bigger effect on profit.
  • Balance sheet limits matter because $30.1 billion of net debt reduces room for aggressive counter-bidding.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - Porter's Five Forces: Threat of substitutes

The threat of substitutes is high for Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. Customers can replace linear TV, moviegoing, and even some sports viewing with streaming, free ad-supported video, gaming, social video, and other leisure spending. The company's 10% domestic linear subscriber decline in Q1 2026 and 9% drop in Global Linear Networks revenue show that substitution is already taking share from the legacy business.

Cord cutting is the clearest sign of substitution. Total streaming subscribers reached 140 million in Q1 2026, up from 131.6 million at year-end 2025, an increase of 8.4 million or about 6.4%. That tells you viewers are not leaving entertainment; they are moving to lower-cost digital formats. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. still generated $8.89 billion in quarterly revenue, but the demand shift favors flexible digital consumption over the old bundle economics of pay TV.

Substitute category What customers switch to Why it matters to Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. Current signal
Linear TV replacement Streaming bundles, direct-to-consumer apps, and free ad-supported video Viewers can keep watching similar content without paying for a full pay TV bundle Domestic linear subscribers fell 10% in Q1 2026
Moviegoing replacement At-home streaming and other home entertainment choices Theatrical releases must compete with convenience, lower cost, and home comfort 2026 films such as The Bride!, Flowervale Street, Clayface, Supergirl, and Dune: Part Three are being positioned as event titles
Ad-supported video replacement Other digital ad ecosystems and free-to-watch platforms Advertisers can move budgets quickly if reach, targeting, or pricing looks better elsewhere Q1 2026 ad revenue fell 8% ex-FX
Sports viewing replacement Other networks, leagues, highlights, and studio shows Fans can follow the same sport through different carriers, reducing the need to stay with one network Inside the NBA moved to ESPN and ABC for the 2025-26 season
Entertainment spending replacement Gaming, social video, live events, and other leisure spending Consumers have more ways to spend time and money, so content must work harder to hold attention Wuthering Heights is tracking for a $40 million to $50 million opening weekend

At-home options keep expanding, which raises the substitution pressure on both theatrical and streaming assets. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. is trying to make its 2026 slate feel like must-watch events, but that strategy only works if the titles are strong enough to pull attention away from gaming, social platforms, and cheaper streaming offers. The company's move back to HBO Max in May 2026 shows that premium content needs a sharper identity to fight substitution. That is important because Q1 2026 operating cash flow was negative $208 million, so the company has less room to absorb weak demand with heavy spending.

Ad-supported tiers face a similar problem. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. launched AI-driven Advanced Ad Capabilities in December 2025 to improve targeting, which tells you advertisers and viewers have many alternatives for both spending and consumption. Even with that technology push, Q1 2026 ad revenue still fell 8% ex-FX, and the loss of NBA rights made the pressure worse. International subscriber growth of 21% and a 140 million subscriber base help offset the decline, but they do not remove the basic risk: when prices rise or the value proposition weakens, customers can move to other platforms fast.

  • Price increases and password-sharing enforcement in November 2025 make substitutes more attractive when households compare monthly bills.
  • Streaming growth of 140 million subscribers shows that demand is shifting, not disappearing, which makes format substitution the main issue.
  • Q1 2026 ad revenue down 8% ex-FX shows advertisers can also substitute away from Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. inventory.
  • Negative $208 million of operating cash flow limits how much the company can spend to defend its audience base.

Sports viewers can substitute quickly because premium games, highlights, and studio programming are spread across multiple media owners. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. settled with the NBA for non-live highlights on an 11-year license but allowed Inside the NBA to move to ESPN and ABC for the 2025-26 season. It also exchanged NBA-related value for Big 12 football and basketball rights, which shows that viewers can still follow the same sport through different carriers. That matters when domestic linear subscribers fall 10% and ad revenue falls 8% ex-FX, because it proves the audience is willing to change where it watches the same content.

Monetization gaps make switching easier. Q1 2026 revenue was $8.89 billion, down 1% year over year, while full-year 2025 revenue was $37.3 billion, down 5% from 2024. The company also posted a $2.9 billion net loss in Q1 2026, so it has limited cushion if users drift to other entertainment or news sources. When customers can get similar value from another app, another network, or a different activity entirely, the substitute wins unless Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. makes its content, pricing, or live-sports package clearly harder to replace.

Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. - Porter's Five Forces: Threat of new entrants

The threat of new entrants is low. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. operates in a business where capital, content, distribution, regulation, and brand trust all act as heavy entry barriers.

Capital barriers are enormous. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. already operates at a scale that makes entry expensive before a newcomer buys a single content right. The Paramount Skydance transaction valued Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. at about $110.9 billion, while the combined entity is expected to carry roughly $79 billion of post-merger debt. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. ended Q1 2026 with $30.1 billion of net debt, 3.4x leverage, and a current ratio of 0.73. It also secured a larger loan sale to replace $15 billion of short-term bridge financing ahead of closing. A new entrant would need deep funding, strong credit access, and the ability to absorb losses for years before reaching scale.

Barrier Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. data Why it blocks entrants
Capital needs $30.1 billion net debt, 3.4x leverage, current ratio 0.73, $15 billion bridge financing replacement New firms need large funding before they can compete for content, technology, and distribution
Scale 140 million global streaming subscribers, $8.89 billion quarterly revenue, $2.2 billion adjusted EBITDA Small firms cannot match the spending power and reach that come from this base
Regulation HSR period expired February 19, 2026, Phase 1 EU review on April 29, 2026, FCC and DOJ pending in May 2026 Entry and expansion can be slowed or blocked by approvals and litigation
Content access 11 years of non-live NBA highlights, 2025-26 sports rights changes, Q4 2025 content revenue down 10% ex-FX Rights are scarce, expensive, and tied to relationships that take years to build
Brand equity HBO Max relaunch in May 2026, 140 million subscribers, $37.3 billion FY 2025 revenue Consumers trust known brands more than new names, which raises customer acquisition cost

Scale and reach block entrants. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. had 140 million global streaming subscribers, up from 131.6 million on December 31, 2025. International growth reached 21% year over year by May 2026. The company also launched HBO Max in Germany, Italy, Austria, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Liechtenstein, the United Kingdom, and Ireland in 2026. That kind of multi-country rollout requires local licensing, payment systems, language support, marketing, and platform reliability. In Q1 2026, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. generated $8.89 billion of revenue and $2.2 billion of adjusted EBITDA. A new entrant would have to match that scale across content, technology, and distribution before it could gain real negotiating power.

  • 140 million subscribers create a large installed audience that newcomers cannot copy quickly.
  • 21% international growth shows the value of a global footprint, not just a domestic app.
  • $2.2 billion of quarterly adjusted EBITDA signals cash generation that can fund content and marketing.
  • Multi-country launches raise the cost of entry because every market adds legal, technical, and commercial work.

Regulation slows market entry. Entry into Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s core media markets is constrained by regulatory scrutiny that a newcomer would still have to survive. The HSR waiting period for the Paramount acquisition expired on February 19, 2026 without a formal challenge, but European antitrust authorities still completed only Phase 1 review on April 29, 2026. U.S. federal approval from the FCC and DOJ remained pending in May 2026, and the deal had already faced Delaware Chancery Court litigation on January 13, 2026. Shareholders voted to approve the sale on April 23, 2026, and the acquisition timeline was still being aligned to a March 4, 2027 merger end date. These steps show that even large, established players can face long approval cycles, so a new entrant would face a slow and expensive path to market.

Content access is hard to buy. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s agreements show that entrants need money and relationships with scarce rights holders. The company's NBA arrangement provides 11 years of non-live highlights, Inside the NBA moved to ESPN and ABC starting with the 2025-26 season, and Big 12 football and basketball rights were part of the trade. Q4 2025 content revenue fell 10% ex-FX because of renewal timing in Studios and Global Linear Networks, which shows how dependent the business is on continuous renewals. The 2026 theatrical slate and the planned CBS Sports and TNT Sports combination also show how much portfolio depth is required to stay relevant. A new entrant would have to outbid, out-license, or out-produce these assets just to approach parity.

  • 11 years of non-live NBA highlights show how long rights can lock in audience value.
  • 10% Q4 2025 content revenue decline ex-FX shows how renewal timing can pressure performance.
  • Sports rights matter because live and near-live content drives subscriber demand and advertising demand.
  • Film and series libraries matter because they reduce churn and support recurring viewing.

Brand equity raises entry costs. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. shifted its streaming brand back to HBO Max in May 2026 to use premium recognition, after expanding to 140 million subscribers globally. It also spent 2026 positioning event content such as Wuthering Heights, which was tracked at a $40 million to $50 million opening weekend, and Dune: Part Three for late 2026 or early 2027. Those titles sit on top of $37.3 billion of FY 2025 revenue and $8.89 billion of Q1 2026 revenue, which reflect a large installed audience and broad marketing reach. A new entrant without a similar catalog, brand, or cash generation would face high customer acquisition costs and weak trust from day one.

Brand and content factor Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. figure Entry effect
Streaming brand reset HBO Max relaunch in May 2026 Shows the value of a recognized premium brand
Subscriber base 140 million global subscribers Creates audience scale and lowers unit costs over time
Revenue base $37.3 billion FY 2025 revenue Supports marketing, content investment, and platform development
Event titles $40 million to $50 million opening weekend for Wuthering Heights Shows that attention-grabbing content needs heavy spending and known IP

Why this force stays weak for entrants. To compete in this market, a new company would need capital, content rights, technology, brand trust, and regulatory clearance at the same time. Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.'s balance sheet pressure, subscriber scale, sports rights, and premium catalog show that the industry rewards firms that already have size. That makes the first-dollar cost of entry very high and the odds of fast success very low.








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