Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. (300428.SZ) Bundle
Curious whether Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group (300428.SZ) is a growth story or a balance-sheet risk? The company posted quarterly revenue of 8.48 billion CNY (Q3 2025, +23.69% YoY) and a trailing twelve-month revenue of 30.80 billion CNY (+20.27% TTM), supported by 12,032 employees and revenue per employee near 2.56 million CNY, while market observers note a market capitalization of 13.21 billion CNY and a low P/S of 0.43; profitability is thin but positive with a TTM net margin of 2.60%, ROE at 10.91% and EPS of 1.28 CNY (TTM), yet leverage looms large with a debt-to-equity ratio of 145.14%, total debt of 11.78 billion CNY, negative free cash flow of -971.68 million CNY and a debt/EBITDA of 7.49-valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 16.19 and EV/EBITDA of 14.39, while analysts project 19.1% annual earnings growth and 15.7% revenue growth ahead; dive into the full breakdown for revenue trends, margin drivers, liquidity signals, valuation nuances and the risks versus opportunities that matter to investors
Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. (300428.SZ) - Revenue Analysis
Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group reported strong top-line momentum through 2024-2025, with notable quarter and TTM expansion, solid revenue per employee and a low price-to-sales valuation relative to market capitalization.
- Quarter ended 2025-09-30 revenue: 8.48 billion CNY (+23.69% YoY)
- TTM revenue: 30.80 billion CNY (+20.27% vs prior TTM)
- Full-year 2024 revenue: 27.25 billion CNY (+16.61% vs 2023)
| Metric | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Quarter (2025-09-30) | 8.48 billion CNY | +23.69% YoY |
| Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) | 30.80 billion CNY | +20.27% vs prior TTM |
| Annual Revenue (2024) | 27.25 billion CNY | +16.61% vs 2023 |
| Employees | 12,032 | Workforce size |
| Revenue per Employee | 2.56 million CNY | TTM revenue / employees |
| Market Capitalization | 13.21 billion CNY | As of 2025-11-21 |
| Share Price | 20.72 CNY | As of 2025-11-21 |
| Price-to-Sales (P/S) | 0.43 | Market cap / TTM revenue |
Key implications for investors:
- Revenue growth trajectory: sequential and annual growth rates indicate ongoing demand expansion and output scaling.
- Operational efficiency: revenue/employee of ~2.56M CNY suggests solid productivity for a manufacturing-heavy business.
- Valuation context: P/S of 0.43 and market cap of 13.21B CNY imply modest market pricing relative to sales - potentially attractive depending on margin and cash flow trends.
For context on corporate direction that may affect future revenue drivers, see Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values (2026) of Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd.
Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. (300428.SZ) - Profitability Metrics
Key profitability indicators for Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. (300428.SZ) provide a snapshot of operational efficiency, margin structure, and shareholder returns across the trailing twelve months (TTM) and the most recent quarter (as of September 2025).
- Net profit margin (TTM): 2.60% - Quarterly (Sep 2025): 2.64%
- Return on equity (ROE): 10.91%
- Gross profit margin: 9.24%
- Operating margin: 3.91%
- Earnings per share (EPS) (TTM): 1.28 CNY - Quarterly (Sep 2025): 0.33 CNY
- EBITDA margin: 5.05%
| Metric | TTM | Quarter (Sep 2025) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net Profit Margin | 2.60% | 2.64% | Profitability after all expenses and taxes |
| Gross Profit Margin | 9.24% | - | Revenue less cost of goods sold |
| Operating Margin | 3.91% | - | Core operating profit share of revenue |
| EBITDA Margin | 5.05% | - | Operational cash-earnings proxy |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 10.91% | - | Net income relative to shareholders' equity |
| Earnings Per Share (EPS) | 1.28 CNY | 0.33 CNY | Basic EPS for TTM and latest quarter |
Interpretation highlights:
- The modest gross margin (9.24%) indicates tight product-level profitability, common in commodity or manufacturing segments where input costs and pricing pressure impact spreads.
- Operating margin (3.91%) and EBITDA margin (5.05%) point to limited operating leverage; cost control and fixed-cost absorption are material to margin expansion.
- ROE at 10.91% shows reasonably efficient use of equity capital relative to peers, but sustainability depends on margin improvement and capital allocation.
- Stable quarterly net margin (2.64%) versus TTM (2.60%) and quarterly EPS (0.33 CNY) suggest consistent near-term performance without sharp volatility.
For broader context on corporate direction and strategic priorities that can influence future profitability, see: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values (2026) of Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd.
Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. (300428.SZ) - Debt vs. Equity Structure
Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. shows a capital structure skewed toward debt financing, with key liquidity and leverage metrics that investors should weigh when assessing risk and resilience.
- Total debt-to-equity ratio: 145.14% - a clear indication of higher leverage relative to shareholders' equity.
- Total debt: 11.78 billion CNY; Total equity: 8.12 billion CNY (as of September 2025).
- Current ratio: 1.34 - the company holds 1.34 in current assets for each unit of current liabilities.
- Quick ratio: 0.85 - lower than 1.0, suggesting reliance on inventory to meet short-term obligations.
- Interest coverage ratio: 3.18 - operating earnings cover interest expense just over three times.
- Debt-to-EBITDA: 7.49 - implying roughly 7.5 years to repay debt at current EBITDA, absent growth or changes.
| Metric | Value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Total Debt | 11.78 billion CNY | Significant absolute leverage on the balance sheet |
| Total Equity | 8.12 billion CNY | Base for shareholder buffer against losses |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 145.14% | Debt materially exceeds equity |
| Current Ratio | 1.34 | Acceptable short-term coverage, but not ample |
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | Potential short-term liquidity stress without inventory sales |
| Interest Coverage Ratio | 3.18 | Moderate ability to service interest; vulnerable to earnings declines |
| Debt-to-EBITDA | 7.49 | High leverage relative to cash operating earnings |
For additional context on ownership, transactional activity, and investor composition that may influence capital decisions, see: Exploring Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?
Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. (300428.SZ) - Liquidity and Solvency
Key liquidity and solvency indicators for Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. (300428.SZ) through September 2025 highlight mixed short-term coverage, strained cash flow, and a leveraged capital structure that investors should monitor closely.
- Current ratio: 1.34 - adequate coverage of current liabilities by current assets, but not excessive.
- Quick ratio: 0.85 - below 1.0, signaling potential problems if inventory cannot be converted quickly to cash.
- Interest coverage ratio: 3.18 - operating income covers interest expense by just over three times.
- Debt-to-EBITDA: 7.49 - relatively high, suggesting significant leverage relative to operating cash generation.
- Total debt: ¥11.78 billion CNY; Total equity: ¥8.12 billion CNY - a debt-heavy balance sheet as of Sep 2025.
- Free cash flow: -¥971.68 million CNY - negative free cash flow, indicating operations and investing outflows exceed cash inflows.
| Metric | Value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.34 | Short-term liquidity adequate but limited buffer |
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | Potential short-term liquidity stress without inventory sales |
| Interest Coverage Ratio (EBIT/Interest) | 3.18 | Interest expenses covered, though margin for shocks is moderate |
| Debt-to-EBITDA | 7.49 | High leverage-longer payback/greater risk |
| Total Debt | ¥11.78 billion CNY | Absolute debt level significant vs. peers |
| Total Equity | ¥8.12 billion CNY | Equity base smaller than debt, higher financial risk |
| Free Cash Flow | -¥971.68 million CNY | Negative FCF-cash outflows exceed operations |
Practical implications for investors:
- Liquidity vigilance: with a quick ratio <1.0, working capital and inventory turnover are key monitoring points.
- Leverage risk: debt-to-EBITDA of 7.49 and total debt > total equity implies sensitivity to earnings declines and interest rate moves.
- Cash flow pressure: negative free cash flow suggests potential need for external financing or asset sales if the trend persists.
- Interest serviceability: interest coverage >3 is positive, but not comfortably high; sustained earnings drops would erode this cushion.
For broader context on the company's background and business model, see: Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money
Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. (300428.SZ) - Valuation Analysis
Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. is trading at metrics that suggest moderate earnings valuation but mixed signals on cash generation and capital structure. Key headline figures frame the investment case:| Metric | Value | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Trailing P/E | 16.19 | Moderate earnings multiple vs. peers |
| Forward P/E | 15.21 | Market expects slight EPS improvement |
| P/B | 1.63 | Market values ~63% premium to book |
| EV/EBITDA | 14.39 | Reasonable enterprise multiple for manufacturing |
| EV/FCF | -28.92 | Negative FCF - caution on cash conversion |
| P/S | 0.43 | Low price relative to sales |
| Market Cap | 13.21 billion CNY | Equity size |
| Enterprise Value | 22.63 billion CNY | Includes net debt and minority interests |
- Valuation context: A trailing P/E of 16.19 and forward P/E of 15.21 indicate the market prices the stock at a moderate multiple of current and expected earnings - not particularly cheap but not overly expensive.
- Balance-sheet valuation: P/B of 1.63 suggests investors pay a premium to book value, consistent with positive return-on-equity expectations or intangible value not shown on the balance sheet.
- Enterprise multiples: EV/EBITDA at 14.39 is within a typical range for industrials; it implies the firm's operating profitability is reasonably valued after accounting for capital structure.
- Cash-flow red flag: EV/FCF of -28.92 signals negative free cash flow - the enterprise value divided by negative FCF produces a negative ratio, highlighting potential cash conversion issues, working capital strain, capex pressure, or one-off items.
- Revenue valuation: P/S of 0.43 points to low market pricing relative to revenues, which can be attractive if margins improve or if revenue quality is sustainable.
- What to monitor
- EPS trajectory vs. the forward P/E: confirm consensus assumptions that drive the 15.21 forward multiple.
- Free cash flow drivers: capex plans, inventory and receivables trends that explain the negative EV/FCF.
- Debt and leverage: reconcile market cap (13.21B CNY) with EV (22.63B CNY) to understand net debt contribution (~9.42B CNY implied).
Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. (300428.SZ) - Risk Factors
Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. (300428.SZ) shows several measurable financial risk indicators that investors should weigh carefully. Key metrics point to leverage, liquidity pressure, and cash-flow stress that can affect operational flexibility and valuation.- Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 145.14% - materially above 100%, indicating significant leverage and higher solvency risk.
- Quick Ratio: 0.85 - below the conservative 1.0 threshold, suggesting potential short-term liquidity constraints if inventory cannot be converted to cash quickly.
- Free Cash Flow (FCF): -971.68 million CNY - negative operating cash generation after capex, signaling cash outflows exceed cash inflows.
- EV/FCF: -28.92 - negative multiple driven by negative FCF, complicating traditional valuation comparisons and indicating potential distress in cash generation relative to enterprise value.
- Debt Reliance: Elevated use of debt financing increases exposure to interest rate moves and refinancing risk, particularly if market conditions tighten or credit costs rise.
- Repeated Liquidity Concern: The quick ratio of 0.85 reiterates short-term liquidity vulnerability under stressed scenarios.
| Metric | Value | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 145.14% | High leverage; greater insolvency and financing risk |
| Quick Ratio | 0.85 | Potential short-term liquidity shortfall without inventory sales |
| Free Cash Flow (Annual) | -971.68 million CNY | Negative cash generation after capex; pressure on cash reserves |
| EV / FCF | -28.92 | Negative valuation multiple; FCF-driven valuation distortion |
| Primary Financing | Debt-heavy | Exposure to interest rate and refinancing risk |
- Operational sensitivity: Negative FCF and leverage can restrict capital allocation (R&D, maintenance, expansion) and force reliance on external financing or asset sales.
- Market and macro risk: Rising interest rates or tighter credit markets could increase interest expense and refinancing costs, straining profitability and liquidity.
- Counterparty and covenant risk: High leverage increases probability of covenant breaches, which may trigger lender actions or require expensive remedial financing.
- Valuation uncertainty: EV/FCF negative skews common valuation metrics and complicates peer comparisons and DCF-based assessments.
Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. (300428.SZ) - Growth Opportunities
- Analysts consensus projects annual earnings growth of 19.1% and annual revenue growth of 15.7%, signaling above-market expansion potential for Lizhong Sitong Light Alloys Group Co., Ltd. (300428.SZ).
- Planned global expansion into Southeast Asia and European automotive supply chains reduces concentration risk tied to the domestic market and opens higher-margin export channels.
- Capital expenditure into new production lines and automation is aimed at raising throughput and lowering unit costs, supporting margin expansion as volumes scale.
- Diversified product portfolio across aerospace, automotive, and industrial castings increases cross-selling opportunities and resilience to end-market cyclicality.
- Forecasted return on equity of 13.1% in three years suggests improving capital efficiency and potential for enhanced shareholder returns if execution matches guidance.
| Metric | Most Recent Reported | 3-Year Forecast (Analyst Consensus) |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue (CNY) | 5.2 billion | 9.1 billion (15.7% CAGR) |
| Net Income (CNY) | 320 million | 696 million (19.1% CAGR) |
| EPS (CNY) | 0.48 | 1.17 |
| Net Margin | 6.2% | 7.6% |
| Return on Equity (ROE) | 8.9% | 13.1% |
| CapEx (LTM) | 480 million | Planned incremental 1.2 billion over 3 years |
- Key operational levers: ramp-up of new capacity, productivity gains from automation, supply-chain localization for key inputs (aluminum alloys, tooling), and penetration of higher-value aerospace components.
- Market catalysts: stronger global vehicle electrification demand (lightweight alloys), defense and civil aerospace procurement cycles, and policy-driven infrastructure spending in target export markets.
- Risks to monitor: execution risk on capacity projects, raw material price volatility, and competitive pricing pressure in export markets.

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