Breaking Down Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. Financial Health: Key Insights for Investors

CN | Basic Materials | Aluminum | SHZ

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Investors tracking Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. will want to note that Q1 2025 operating revenue climbed to 14.411 billion yuan (up 26.89% year‑on‑year) even as operating costs rose 33.38%, driven by higher sales volumes and stronger commodity prices (SHFE aluminum at 20,480 yuan/mt on March 31, 2025 and an average SMMA00 spot price of 20,560 yuan/mt), while Q1 net profit attributable to shareholders fell to 974 million yuan (down 16.26% YoY) and adjusted net profit was 970 million yuan; balance‑sheet and liquidity signals through Q3 2025 show total assets of 47.75 billion yuan (up 13.97% YoY) and operating cash flow of 6.98 billion yuan (up 25.19% YoY), even as management pursues a ~2.4 billion yuan acquisition of stakes in three subsidiaries, expands aluminum rod capacity by 768,000 mt, and faces risks from hydropower variability, alumina supply disruptions and regulatory changes that could affect costs and capital structure - analysts still peg a consensus price target of 20.40 yuan per share with 2025 EPS estimates at 1.47 yuan.

Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. (000807.SZ) - Revenue Analysis

In Q1 2025 Yunnan Aluminium reported operating revenue of 14.411 billion yuan, a 26.89% year-over-year increase driven primarily by higher sales volumes and rising selling prices for aluminum products. Operating costs rose faster than revenue, increasing 33.38% year-over-year as a result of elevated raw-material prices and higher shipment volumes.

  • Operating revenue (Q1 2025): 14.411 billion yuan (+26.89% YoY)
  • Primary drivers: increased sales volume; higher realized aluminum prices
  • Operating costs: +33.38% YoY - impacted by raw-material inflation and volume-related expense growth
Metric Q1 2025 Comparable / Reference
Operating revenue 14.411 billion yuan Q1 2024: ≈11.356 billion yuan (implied)
Operating costs (YoY) +33.38% Base increase vs Q1 2024
SHFE main aluminum contract (close, 31‑Mar‑2025) 20,480 yuan/mt Up 3.49% vs prior quarter (prior quarter ≈19,793 yuan/mt)
Average spot price (SMMA00, 31‑Mar‑2025) 20,560 yuan/mt Up 4% vs end‑2024 (end‑2024 ≈19,769 yuan/mt)
Peak short‑term price (late Jan 2025) 20,550 yuan/mt New high since Dec 2024 - driven by unexpected destocking during CNY

Revenue expansion was concentrated in commodity aluminum segments where realized prices tracked the SHFE and spot moves. Cost pressure was concentrated in raw materials and logistics as volumes increased.

  • Price environment: stronger quarter‑end and spot pricing (see SHFE and SMMA00 levels above)
  • Volume effect: higher shipments amplified both revenue and variable costs
  • Timing/seasonality: January destocking contributed to temporary price spikes and margin variability

For context on company direction and long‑term positioning see: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values (2026) of Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd.

Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. (000807.SZ) - Profitability Metrics

Key profitability outcomes for recent quarters highlight a mixed picture: year-over-year profit declines in Q1 2025 driven by rising operating costs, followed by a strong margin recovery in Q2 2025 as raw-material costs eased.

  • Q1 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders: 974 million yuan (down 16.26% YoY).
  • Q1 2025 net profit after deducting non-recurring gains/losses: 970 million yuan (down 6.30% YoY).
  • Primary cause of Q1 decline: operating costs increased faster than revenue growth.
  • Q2 2025 gross margin: 18.10%, up 8.14 percentage points month‑over‑month.
  • Margin improvement driver: significant decline in alumina prices, lowering production cost per tonne.
  • Q2 2025 set a record high for the company's quarterly earnings (company-stated peak performance).
Metric Q1 2025 Q2 2025
Net profit attributable (yuan) 974,000,000 Record high (company report)
Net profit after deducting non-recurring items (yuan) 970,000,000 Record high (company report)
YoY change in net profit (attributable) -16.26% Not stated
Gross margin 9.96% (calculated: 18.10% - 8.14 ppt) 18.10%
MoM gross margin change (May→Jun / Q1→Q2 basis) N/A +8.14 percentage points
Primary cost driver Rising operating costs (energy, logistics, other inputs) Lower alumina prices reducing production costs

For additional context on strategic direction and values that may influence cost structure and capital allocation, see Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values (2026) of Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd.

Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. (000807.SZ) - Debt vs. Equity Structure

Yunnan Aluminium's public filings do not provide a complete, consolidated snapshot of its debt-versus-equity position as of late 2025. Management has been investing in capacity expansion, and a material corporate action in November 2025 - an announced plan to acquire additional stakes in three subsidiaries for approximately ¥2.4 billion - creates near-term ambiguity around leverage until financing details are disclosed.
  • Acquisition (Nov 2025): ~¥2.4 billion for additional stakes in three subsidiaries.
  • Financing: Not specified publicly (debt, equity, or mixed financing remains unknown).
  • Operational trend: Active capacity expansion and elevated capital expenditure programs reported historically.
  • Disclosure gap: Detailed consolidated debt balances, credit facilities, maturities, and equity changes for late‑2025 not yet available in public filings.
Item Known Value / Status Investor Implication
Planned acquisition (Nov 2025) ≈ ¥2.4 billion Potential near-term increase in liabilities or equity issuance depending on financing choice
Debt disclosure (late 2025) Not publicly disclosed in consolidated detail Cannot calculate precise debt/equity ratio; monitor future filings
Capital expenditures / capacity expansion Ongoing (company-reported expansion initiatives) May increase leverage and fixed-cost base; benefits depend on product pricing and utilization
Financing method for acquisition Unspecified Key determinant of leverage trajectory - debt financing raises solvency risk; equity dilution affects EPS
  • What investors should watch next:
    • Interim/annual reports and board resolutions specifying financing for the ¥2.4bn acquisition.
    • Changes in consolidated borrowings, short‑term vs long‑term maturities, covenant disclosures.
    • Capex guidance and cash flow from operations to assess funding sufficiency.
    • Any announced equity issuance, rights offerings, or bank/credit agreements tied to the acquisition.
  • For additional company context and shareholder activity, see: Exploring Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?

Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. (000807.SZ) - Liquidity and Solvency

Key Q3 2025 metrics indicate an improving liquidity profile and operational cash generation for Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. (000807.SZ), while solvency implications depend on recent transactional financing choices.

  • Total assets (Q3 2025): 47.75 billion yuan - +13.97% vs. prior year-end.
  • Cash flow from operating activities (Q3 2025): 6.98 billion yuan - +25.19% year-over-year.
  • Operational cash flow growth points to improved liquidity and higher operational efficiency.
  • Specific short-term liquidity ratios (current ratio, quick ratio) are not provided in the disclosed summary; full financial statements are needed for those metrics.
  • Recent acquisitions of additional subsidiary stakes could affect solvency depending on whether financing was via cash, debt issuance, or equity.
Metric Q3 2025 Change YoY Notes
Total Assets 47.75 billion yuan +13.97% Growth may reflect capex, acquisition accounting or revaluation
Operating Cash Flow 6.98 billion yuan +25.19% Stronger cash generation from core operations
Current Ratio - - Not disclosed in summary; see financial statements
Quick Ratio - - Not disclosed in summary; see financial statements
Impact of Acquisitions Varies Depends on financing Debt-funded deals raise leverage; cash/equity have different effects
  • Short-term obligations: current liquidity appears adequate given robust operating cash flow, but confirm via balance-sheet liquidity ratios.
  • Solvency risk drivers: total debt levels, maturity profile, and post-acquisition leverage - examine notes to financials for debt covenants or contingent liabilities.
  • Investor action: review the latest consolidated balance sheet, cash flow statement and acquisition financing disclosures to quantify solvency impact.

Further context on the company's background and strategic moves is available here: Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd.: History, Ownership, Mission, How It Works & Makes Money

Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. (000807.SZ) - Valuation Analysis

  • Analysts' consensus price target: 20.40 yuan/share (implies a 7.4% increase vs. prior target).
  • Price-target drivers: confidence in revenue growth, cost control, and strategic initiatives (capacity optimization, product mix).
  • 2025 EPS (revised): 1.47 yuan, representing a ~16% increase from the prior-year EPS.
  • Valuation sensitivity: metrics imply upside but remain subject to commodity cycles, aluminum price swings, energy costs, and macro demand.
Metric Value Notes
Consensus price target 20.40 yuan/share Analyst consensus
Previous price target ≈19.01 yuan/share Derived from 7.4% increase
Implied upside 7.4% Vs. prior estimate
2025 EPS (revised) 1.47 yuan ~16% y/y increase
2024 EPS (implied prior year) ≈1.27 yuan 1.47 / 1.16 ≈ 1.27
Implied P/E (target / 2025 EPS) ≈13.9x 20.40 / 1.47 ≈ 13.9
  • Interpretation: An implied forward P/E near 14x signals moderate valuation relative to expected profitability - attractive if EPS delivery and metal-market tailwinds materialize.
  • Risks to valuation: negative aluminum-price shocks, rising energy or carbon costs, weaker demand from key industries (automotive, construction), execution risk on strategic projects.
  • Monitoring triggers: quarterly EPS beats/misses, margin recovery, working-capital trends, capex disclosures, and guidance revisions.
Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values (2026) of Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd.

Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. (000807.SZ) - Risk Factors

  • Primary exposure to hydropower: a large portion of Yunnan Aluminium's smelting and alumina refining power mix is supplied by regional hydropower plants; during dry seasons and multi-year rainfall variability, available cheap electricity can drop substantially, forcing the use of higher-cost thermal power or curtailment of production.
  • Operational disruptions from environmental and import shocks: intensified environmental inspections and interruptions to bauxite imports (logistics or source-country policy) can constrain alumina feedstock and raise conversion costs.
  • Aluminum price volatility: LME aluminum prices fluctuate based on global supply-demand balance, inventories, Chinese domestic policy and geopolitics; price swings directly affect margins for integrated producers like Yunnan Aluminium.
  • Regulatory and subsidy risk: any changes to preferential electricity pricing or the cancellation of subsidized electricity for aluminum producers will materially increase per-ton production costs and compress margins.
  • Concentration risk: geographic concentration of production in Yunnan province exposes the company to region-specific climatic and grid stability risks rather than a diversified power/base-metal footprint.

Key measurable exposures and scenario sensitivities (illustrative estimates to monitor):

Metric Current / Typical Value Stress Scenario Impact on Operations / Finance
Hydropower share of plant power mix ~60-80% (regionally dependent) Drop to 30-40% during severe drought Switch to thermal power or curtailment; electricity cost per tonne rises by an estimated RMB 300-800/ton
Production curtailment Occasional seasonal reductions (single-digit % typical) Prolonged drought/shortage: 10-30% annual decline Revenue loss proportional to output; fixed costs spread over lower volumes → margin erosion
Alumina feed disruptions Normal supply via domestic/refined imports Temporary shortage due to inspections/import delays Spot alumina premiums rise; per-ton conversion cost increases by estimated RMB 200-600/ton
LME Aluminum price (reference) Volatile - multi-month swings of ±10-25% Sharp sell-offs or spikes from geopolitical events EBITDA swings; breakeven linkage sensitive to both price and power cost
Policy / subsidy change Preferential electricity historically provided to smelters in some periods Cancellation or phase-out of subsidies Estimated increase in annual energy expense: hundreds of millions RMB depending on scale; margin compression
  • Monitoring indicators: monthly hydrological reports for Yunnan reservoirs, provincial electricity dispatch notices, company monthly production updates (smelted aluminum tonnes and alumina throughput), spot alumina and LME aluminum prices, and import freight/port congestion metrics.
  • Financial-watch metrics: quarterly energy cost per tonne, EBITDA margin sensitivity to a ¥100/ton power cost move, working capital tied to inventory of alumina/bauxite, and short-term debt maturities that could be stressed by revenue shortfalls.
  • Hedging and mitigation levers to watch: forward energy procurement contracts, alumina inventory build strategies, geographical diversification of feedstock, capital allocation toward energy-efficiency or captive generation, and contractual clauses with customers for price pass-through.

For additional context on corporate strategy and stated long-term objectives, see the company's articulated values and direction here: Mission Statement, Vision, & Core Values (2026) of Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd.

Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. (000807.SZ) - Growth Opportunities

Yunnan Aluminium is pursuing a multi-pronged growth agenda that targets capacity expansion, operational resilience, product-quality standardization, circular-economy businesses and strategic consolidation. Key concrete developments and their investor implications are summarized below.
  • Capacity expansion: a confirmed aluminum rod capacity increase of 768,000 metric tons (mt) completed/announced as of September 2025.
  • Power and production resilience: active efforts to secure higher electricity load allocations and demonstrate rapid production resumptions in aluminum lines following outages or curtailments.
  • Operational quality: rollout of standardized production practices across plants to improve yield, reduce variability and lower per-unit operating costs.
  • Circular economy and by‑products: expansion into comprehensive utilization of secondary aluminum and solid-waste resources to capture margin from recycled inputs and reduce feedstock volatility.
  • Strategic M&A: planned acquisitions/increases of stakes in subsidiaries to consolidate upstream/downstream positions and capture a larger share of value-added rod and extrusion markets.
Initiative Key Metric / Target Timeframe / Status Investor Implication
Aluminum rod capacity expansion +768,000 mt capacity As of Sep 2025 - implemented/announced Supports revenue growth potential and scale economies in rod segment
Electricity load increase Higher allocated load to enable fuller utilization of smelters and casthouses Ongoing - active applications and approvals Enables higher run-rates and reduces downtime risk from power constraints
Standardized production systems Uniform procedures across lines - target: lower scrap and higher first-pass yield Phased roll-out across plants in 2024-2026 Improves gross margin and operating leverage
Circular economy businesses Secondary aluminum & solid waste utilization projects Expansion underway - project-level rollouts through 2025 Reduces feedstock cost exposure; captures new revenue streams
Strategic acquisitions / stake increases Planned purchases of additional subsidiary stakes (deal-specific) Announced/planned (timing varies by transaction) Potential to strengthen market position and integrate value chain
  • Revenue & profitability drivers to watch: incremental sales from the 768,000 mt rod capacity; utilization uplift if additional electricity load is granted; margin improvements from standardized production and recycled-aluminum feedstock.
  • Execution risks: timing of electricity approvals, commissioning schedules for expanded capacity, integration of acquisitions, and commodity-price exposure (aluminum LME and domestic premiums).
  • Quantitative signals for investors: monthly/quarterly production volumes (rod mt), utilization rates (%), scrap/first-pass yield improvements (bps), recycled-aluminum contribution to feedstock (%), and capital spending vs. projected incremental EBITDA.
For a complementary profile of ownership and market positioning, see: Exploring Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. Investor Profile: Who's Buying and Why?

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